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15 Biggest Box Office Wins and Flops of 2026 (so far)

Updated: 6 days ago


You've probably scrolled past a dozen "best movies of the year" lists already and still have no real idea which 2026 releases were actual box office hits versus expensive disasters dressed up as prestige cinema. Knowing the real winners and flops of the year saves you money on tickets, streaming rentals, and wasted movie nights, while giving you the inside scoop everyone at your next dinner party will wish they had. Let's start 👇

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Years after the pandemic brought the film industry to its knees, moviegoing is officially back. Domestic ticket sales are up roughly 10% compared to 2025, according to Rentrak, and Hollywood is on track for its best summer box office season since the record-shattering "Barbenheimer" summer of 2023, with four-month revenues expected to surpass $4 billion for the first time in years. It's been a genuinely fascinating twelve months for cinema: sleeper horror hits made by 26-year-old YouTubers, decades-old franchises finding new billion-dollar life, and a few unbelievably expensive vanity projects that landed with a resounding thud.


Below is a full, ranked breakdown of the ten biggest box office wins and flops of 2026 so far — the sequels that delivered, the low-budget horror movies that outperformed everyone's expectations, the once-untouchable directors suddenly looking mortal, and the costly misfires that studios would rather forget. Whether you're trying to figure out what's actually worth streaming this weekend, researching 2026 box office trends for a project of your own, or just love a good Hollywood underdog story, this ranked movie guide has you covered from the record-breaking blockbusters all the way down to the box office bombs nobody saw coming.


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  1. Spider-Man: Brand New Day — Global Box Office: $1.15 Billion+ — MASSIVE WIN

There are box office hits, and then there are movies that make the rest of the industry look like it has been playing a completely different game.


Spider-Man: Brand New Day is firmly in the second category.

I expected this movie to be enormous. Everyone expected it to be enormous. Spider-Man is one of the few characters left who can basically announce a release date and guarantee that millions of people will rearrange their weekend around it.


What I didn't expect was this.

The film opened to an astonishing $927 million worldwide and then crossed the $1 billion mark after only six days. By its seventh day in theaters, it had already reached roughly $1.15 billion globally and overtaken Toy Story 5 to become the highest-grossing movie of 2026.

Seven days.


That's absurd.

The domestic numbers were just as ridiculous. Brand New Day opened with approximately $360 million in North America, beating Avengers: Endgame to claim the biggest domestic opening weekend ever recorded.

At this point, we're not really asking whether the movie is a hit anymore. We're asking how high it can go.

The remarkable thing is that Spider-Man has already been rebooted, recast, killed, resurrected, sent across the multiverse and teamed up with practically everyone Marvel owns, and audiences apparently still haven't had enough of him.


If anything, they want more.

For a movie industry constantly worrying about superhero fatigue, Peter Parker has just delivered a fairly convincing counterargument.


Verdict: One of the biggest box office wins of the decade, never mind 2026.

  1. The Odyssey — Global Box Office: $1 Billion+ — MASSIVE WIN

Apparently Christopher Nolan looked at a nearly 3,000-year-old Greek poem and thought, “Yes, this should be a summer blockbuster.”


And somehow he was completely right.

The Odyssey is probably my favourite box office story on this updated list because almost everything about it sounds like something modern Hollywood would normally be terrified to spend $250 million making.

It's nearly three hours long.


It's R-rated.

It's based on Homer.

And there isn't a superhero anywhere in sight.

Yet audiences turned it into one of the biggest movies of 2026.

The film opened with approximately $264 million worldwide, giving Nolan the biggest global opening of his career. After only ten days it had already reached around $652 million, helped enormously by people seeking out premium IMAX screenings.


And now it has crossed the $1 billion mark worldwide.


That puts The Odyssey alongside the year's very biggest releases and gives us another reminder that Christopher Nolan himself has basically become a franchise.

People aren't necessarily buying tickets because they desperately wanted a Homer adaptation.

They're buying tickets because Nolan made it.


That's an incredibly rare position for a director to occupy in modern Hollywood.

The film has also become a huge IMAX event, with many 70mm screenings selling out weeks in advance. Nolan has spent years convincing audiences that his movies need to be experienced on the biggest screen possible, and The Odyssey might be the clearest evidence yet that the strategy works.


Who knew compulsory school reading could eventually become a billion-dollar blockbuster?

Verdict: A spectacular win and arguably the year's most impressive non-franchise box office success.

  1. Toy Story 5 — Global Box Office: $1 Billion+ — MASSIVE WIN



Five movies into a franchise, you'd normally expect at least a little audience fatigue.

Apparently nobody told Woody.



Toy Story 5 became another billion-dollar success for Disney and Pixar, proving that audiences still have an enormous amount of affection for these characters nearly three decades after the original movie arrived.

The sequel opened with $160 million domestically — the biggest opening weekend in Toy Story history — and reached more than $800 million worldwide after only three weekends.


It has since crossed the $1 billion mark globally.

That's especially impressive considering the movie reportedly cost around $250 million to make. Expensive? Absolutely.



But when you're generating this kind of theatrical revenue before Disney has even started counting streaming subscriptions, merchandise, toys and theme-park benefits, that budget suddenly becomes considerably easier to justify.


The story also gave Pixar a wonderfully self-aware premise: Bonnie becoming increasingly obsessed with technology while Woody, Buzz and the other toys struggle with the possibility that children might simply stop wanting toys.


Which is slightly ironic considering the Toy Story franchise itself continues selling an extraordinary amount of them.


There were understandable questions about whether we really needed a fifth movie.

The box office has answered them fairly clearly.

Yes.

Apparently we did.


Verdict: Another huge franchise victory for Disney and one of the biggest animated movies of 2026.

  1. Backrooms — Global Box Office: $212 Million+ — HUGE WIN

If Obsession is the craziest low-budget success story in this article, Backrooms isn't very far behind it.

And once again, YouTube appears to be quietly creating Hollywood's next generation of filmmakers.

Kane Parsons was only in his twenties when he turned his viral internet horror series into an A24 feature film.

The movie reportedly cost around $10 million.


It opened to $118 million worldwide.

Just think about that for a second.

A $10 million horror film inspired by eerie videos about endless yellow rooms generated more than ten times its production budget during its opening weekend.


By its tenth day, Backrooms had crossed $212 million globally and officially become A24's highest-grossing movie ever worldwide.


That is an extraordinary result for any independent horror film.


It's even more extraordinary when you remember where the whole thing started.

Parsons originally developed The Backrooms as a YouTube series built around the internet concept of liminal spaces — unsettling, seemingly endless environments that look familiar without ever feeling quite right.

What Hollywood understood was that Parsons already had something studios spend millions trying to manufacture: an audience.


Young viewers knew the mythology.

They knew the aesthetic.


And when the movie arrived, they actually went to theaters.


Between Backrooms and Obsession, 2026 is starting to look like the year Hollywood finally realised that the next generation of genre filmmakers might already be building enormous audiences online.


Verdict: One of 2026's biggest sleeper hits and a spectacular win for A24.




5. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie — Global Box Office: $1 Billion (Budget: $110 Million)

Illumination and Nintendo pulled off the single biggest box office win of the year. Mario, Luigi, Princess Peach, and Yoshi blasted off into space and crossed the billion-dollar mark globally on a budget of just over $100 million — remarkably lean for an animated blockbuster of this scale. The sequel couldn't quite match the critical reception of the original 2023 film, and reviewers were noticeably chillier this time around, but audiences didn't care in the slightest. The film posted the biggest domestic opening weekend of 2026 so far, and with more than 200 Mario-related video games still left to mine for material, this franchise is nowhere near finished.

Where to stream or watch: Check Fandango or your local theater listings for current showtimes, with a streaming release expected later this year.


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6. Michael — Global Box Office: $1 Billion (Budget: $155 Million)

Costly reshoots, behind-the-scenes drama, and a wave of critical backlash couldn't stop this Michael Jackson biopic from moonwalking straight to the top of the year's box office charts. Critics complained that the film paints an overly sanitized portrait of the King of Pop — the story wraps up before the darker chapters of his life — but audiences didn't want a warts-and-all biography. They wanted the greatest hits: "Thriller," "Billie Jean," and "Beat It," all from the comfort of a reclining theater seat. "Michael" has now surpassed "Bohemian Rhapsody" as the highest-grossing musical biopic ever made, and it's overtaken "Oppenheimer" as the biggest film ever built around a real-life figure. A sequel covering the more controversial years of Jackson's story is reportedly already in early discussions.


Where to stream or watch: In theaters now — check local listings for showtimes.


Ranked movie lists like this one are exactly the kind of content that draws readers looking for trustworthy, up-to-date box office analysis — which is also why brands love partnering with sites like this one. Advertise with That Love Podcast and get in front of an audience that actually reads to the end.


7. Project Hail Mary — Global Box Office: $683.3 Million (Budget: $200 Million)

Andy Weir's bestselling novel about a desperate solo mission to the outer edges of space got the blockbuster treatment from Amazon MGM Studios, and it paid off in a massive way. Released in March, when box office competition was lighter, the sweet, funny sci-fi adventure rode rave reviews and strong word of mouth to nearly $700 million worldwide, validating Amazon's decision to invest more heavily in theatrical releases. It also proved Ryan Gosling's star power extends well beyond "Barbie" — audiences will show up in droves for a movie about a lonely scientist bonding with an alien life-form that looks like a heap of granite. That's the kind of box office trust only a handful of actors carry into an original, non-franchise release.


Where to stream or watch: Available now across major streaming platforms.



8. Obsession — Global Box Office: $426 Million (Budget: $750,000)

This is the single wildest success story of the entire year. A horror movie made for less than a million dollars, directed by 26-year-old YouTube creator Curry Barker, became one of the most profitable indie box office sensations in recent memory. It opened with a strong $17 million in North America, and then something remarkable happened — ticket sales kept climbing for four consecutive weekends, an almost unheard-of trajectory for a modern horror release. Paired with fellow YouTuber Kane Parsons' similarly cheap hit "Backrooms," "Obsession" proved that Gen Z audiences absolutely will leave TikTok and YouTube behind for the right theatrical experience, especially horror content that feels culturally current rather than studio-manufactured.


Where to stream or watch: Check Focus Features' official channels for upcoming streaming windows.


External resource: For a deeper dive into how creator-directed horror is reshaping the genre, Variety's box office coverage tracks these trends closely.


9. Hoppers — Global Box Office: $372 Million (Budget: $150 Million)

Pixar finally landed an original hit again — its first in nearly a decade, since 2017's "Coco." The story of an animal-loving student who transfers her mind into a robotic beaver so she can talk to wildlife opened to a respectable $45 million and earned great reviews across the board. It's a step in the right direction after a rockier stretch that included "Elio," "Lightyear," and "Elemental," though "Hoppers" didn't have the same long theatrical tail that 2023's "Elemental" eventually found on its way to nearly $500 million worldwide. Original animated filmmaking remains a genuinely tough sell in this box office climate, even for a studio with Pixar's pedigree.


Where to stream or watch: In theaters now, with a streaming date expected later in the year.


🎧 Catch up on That Love Podcast episodes here — perfect listening for your next movie night debate.

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10. The Devil Wears Prada 2 — Global Box Office: $666.1 Million (Budget: Not Disclosed)

Miranda Priestly is back, and she's more terrifying than ever. The long-awaited sequel to the 2006 original brought fans flooding back into theaters, proving that a beloved cast and a killer premise can still pull adult, non-franchise audiences off their couches in huge numbers. If you love your fashion sagas as much as your box office trends, this is the sequel that delivered on both fronts.


Where to stream or watch: Check Fandango for current showtimes.


If you love our take on the sequel, read our full Devil Wears Prada 2 review here.


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11. Supergirl — Global Box Office: $115 Million (Budget: $170 Million)

Superman's young cousin never got off the ground. Miserable reviews and a general lack of audience familiarity with Krypton's lesser-known refugee sank this one fast, turning what was meant to be a franchise-expanding tentpole into one of the year's clearest box office flops. Comic book audiences have grown noticeably pickier — top-tier heroes like Batman and Spider-Man will still reliably fill seats, but the extended superhero family tree is a much tougher sell in 2026's crowded release calendar.


Where to stream or watch: Available now on digital and VOD platforms.


12. Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu — Global Box Office: $340 Million (Budget: $165 Million)

Baby Yoda might be the most beloved character in the entire "Star Wars" universe, but he couldn't carry a movie the way Disney had hoped. Older fans who grew up on the original trilogy turned up, but the Force simply didn't resonate with younger crowds the way the studio needed it to. This was the franchise's first theatrical release in seven years, and instead of reviving the space saga as a viable big-screen property, "The Mandalorian and Grogu" is on track to become the lowest-earning "Star Wars" film ever made, edging out 2018's "Solo: A Star Wars Story."


Where to stream or watch: Streaming now on Disney+.



13. The Bride! — Global Box Office: $23.9 Million (Budget: $90 Million)


Maggie Gyllenhaal's punk-rock, feminist reimagining of the Bride of Frankenstein — starring Christian Bale and Jessie Buckley as a reanimated pair of outlaw lovers on the run — sounded genuinely fascinating on paper. In theaters, it was dead on arrival. Unfortunate release timing didn't help either: it landed close to Guillermo del Toro's Oscar-winning "Frankenstein," and audiences overwhelmingly chose that film instead, leaving Warner Bros. with a painful write-down and one of the year's most talked-about box office bombs.


Where to stream or watch: Available now on VOD platforms.


External resource: Rotten Tomatoes' guide to 2026's new releases is a great resource for continuously updated critic and audience scores.


  1. Masters of the Universe — Global Box Office: $113 Million — MAJOR FLOP


This one hurts.

Not necessarily because I was desperate for a new Masters of the Universe cinematic universe, but because Hollywood spent around $200 million making it.


The movie earned approximately $113 million worldwide.


You don't need an accounting degree to work out that this isn't ideal.


Nicholas Galitzine led the film as Prince Adam/He-Man alongside Camila Mendes, Idris Elba and Jared Leto, while Amazon MGM clearly hoped the property could become another large-scale fantasy franchise.

Instead, it became one of 2026's clearest examples of the danger of spending blockbuster money on a brand whose modern theatrical audience hasn't really been proven.


The film opened with only $29.3 million domestically and eventually finished its theatrical run at roughly $113 million worldwide before heading to Prime Video in July.

And remember: studios don't receive every dollar from ticket sales.


Once theaters take their share and marketing costs are added, a $200 million production generally needs considerably more than $200 million at the global box office simply to break even.

That makes this a painful result.


The bigger lesson might be that nostalgia alone isn't enough anymore.


Audiences will absolutely return for familiar franchises — Toy Story and Spider-Man have made that very clear — but familiarity has to be accompanied by genuine demand.


Knowing who He-Man is and wanting to spend £15 watching a new He-Man movie are two very different things.

Verdict: One of the year's most expensive franchise misfires.



15. Melania — Global Box Office: $16.7 Million (Budget: $40 Million)


Amazon MGM Studios spent $40 million on a glossy documentary look at the first lady's inauguration preparations, then reportedly spent another $35 million promoting it. It made $16.7 million. The MAGA faithful turned out in respectable numbers, but the film was never really designed to turn a profit in the first place — it was designed to satisfy an audience of one, and it closes out our list as arguably the year's most expensive vanity project.


Where to stream or watch: Streaming now on Prime Video.


External resource: Box Office Mojo tracks detailed weekly and cumulative box office data if you want to dig deeper into any of these numbers yourself.



Final Thoughts

2026 has been a genuinely fascinating year at the box office — proof that a $750,000 horror movie can outperform a $90 million awards darling, and that even the most bankable directors and franchises aren't automatically safe from a costly miss. Sequels dominated the year's biggest wins, YouTube-trained directors out-hustled Hollywood veterans, and a handful of expensive vanity projects reminded everyone that box office success and audience love don't always line up with a massive budget. With "The Odyssey," "Dune: Part Three," and "Avengers: Doomsday" still to come before the year is out, the back half of 2026 has an enormous amount to live up to — and based on how the first six months went, this year's box office story is far from finished.

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FAQs

1. What was the biggest box office win of 2026? "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" and "Michael" both crossed the billion-dollar mark globally, making them the year's two biggest box office wins so far.

2. What was the biggest box office flop of 2026? "Melania," Amazon MGM's documentary about the first lady, made just $16.7 million against a combined production and marketing spend of roughly $75 million — arguably the year's clearest box office bomb.

3. Is the box office actually recovering in 2026? Yes. Domestic ticket sales are up around 10% from 2025, and industry revenue for the summer season is projected to surpass $4 billion for the first time since the 2023 "Barbenheimer" summer.

4. Why did low-budget horror movies like "Obsession" and "Backrooms" do so well? Both were directed by young YouTube creators with built-in fan bases, and they proved that younger audiences will leave social media behind for the right theatrical horror experience, especially content that feels culturally current.

5. Why did "Supergirl" and "The Mandalorian and Grogu" underperform at the box office? Both suffered from limited audience familiarity outside die-hard fans. Franchise and superhero fatigue mean only the biggest, most recognizable names reliably pull in crowds in 2026's crowded release calendar.

6. Is "Michael" worth watching if I want the full, unfiltered story of Michael Jackson's life? Not really — critics noted the film ends before some of the darker, more controversial chapters of his life. It leans heavily into the music and performance side of his career instead.

7. Did any original, non-sequel movies succeed at the box office in 2026? Yes — Pixar's "Hoppers" was widely considered the studio's first original box office hit in years, though it didn't have quite the same long theatrical run as some past Pixar originals.

8. What upcoming movies could shake up the second half of the 2026 box office? "The Odyssey," "Dune: Part Three," and "Avengers: Doomsday" are among the most anticipated remaining releases of the year, and any of them could reshape this list by December.

9. Why did "The Bride!" flop despite its starry cast? Poor reviews combined with unfortunate release timing — it opened close to Guillermo del Toro's acclaimed "Frankenstein," which absorbed much of the audience appetite for Frankenstein-adjacent stories this year.

10. Where can I find reliable, updated 2026 box office numbers? Sites like Box Office Mojo and Comscore track weekly and cumulative box office data in detail, and Rotten Tomatoes is useful for cross-referencing critical and audience reception.

External resource: For the full year-end box office picture as it develops, Comscore's box office tracking is a reliable source worth bookmarking.


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